A senior political lecturer is predicting the federal election will deliver a small swing against incumbent Liberal candidate Dan Tehan in Wannon.
Subscribe now for unlimited access.
$0/
(min cost $0)
or signup to continue reading
A swing would challenge the 9.7 per cent margin Mr Tehan attained at the last federal election.
“I think Dan Tehan might see a swing against him, only because there was a such a big victory for the Coalition in 2013,” Monash University’s Nick Economou said.
“Quite clearly Wannon is a safe Liberal seat and it is that because the people of Wannon want it to be like that.
“But Wannon is the sort of seat where I reckon there will be a bit of a swing to Labor.'”
At the 2013 election, Mr Tehan was elected with more than 60 per cent of the vote on a two-party preferred basis.
Candidates’ how-to-vote cards were revealed this week as pre-polling started, with the Greens’ Thomas Campbell and Labor’s Michael Barling both putting Mr Tehan last.
Mr Barling advised voters to list Mr Campbell second, however, Mr Campbell placed Mr Barling third, saying independent Michael McCluskey shared more of his party’s values.
Mr Tehan listed Mr Barling at number four and Mr Campbell last at number five.
The independents did not issue voter preferences.
Mr Economou predicted a Coalition election victory, with swings to Labor stemming from a reaction against the government.
“The number of seats that will change hands won’t be enough to deny the Coalition the majority”, he said.
