Today will be cloudy with a very high (100% now) chance of showers, becoming less likely in the early afternoon.

There's also the chance of a thunderstorm this morning with possible hail in the morning and early afternoon. Winds will be south-westerly 20 to 30 km/h tending southerly 30 to 45 km/h in the morning then decreasing to 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.

At 7am in Warrnambool it was 8.1 degrees, felt like 2.7 and we've had 13.8mm of rain since 9am Monday.

There's a strong wind warning for the west coast and a sheep graziers alert for the south-west and across Victoria.

Farmers are warned that cold cold south-westerly winds and showers are expected today.

All districts are likely to be affected. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.

We are definitely not in drought despite what the experts at the federal government say.

Warrnambool is expecting a top of 13 degrees today, Hamilton 12, Colac 12, Ararat 12, Casterton 13, Mortlake 13, Heywood 13, Portland 13, Port Fairy 13, Terang 12 and Camperdown 12.

A cold front will clear the far east of the State early this morning, with a cold south-westerly airstream to follow today as a high pressure system crosses waters south of the Bight.

The high will extend a ridge across Victoria later this evening as a low pressure system develops over the Tasman Sea.

On Wednesday and Thursday the low is expected to drift slowly towards New Zealand as the high moves slowly to the south-west of Tasmania.

During Friday the high is expected to pass south of Tasmania as a low pressure trough over NSW extends south across north-east Victoria.

Warrnambool's weather is on the gradual improve with a cloudy 13 tipped for Wednesday, 14 for Thursday, 15 Friday, 17 on Saturday and then 19 on Sunday.

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