They might need results to fall their way but Sydney Thunder batsman Aiden Blizzard says you only have to look at their title run two years ago to know it's possible.
To make the finals the Thunder must beat the Renegades at Manuka Oval on Wednesday night and hope the Melbourne outfit lose their final game of the season against Brisbane.
Blizzard was part of Thunder side which won the 2015-16 Big Bash League from fourth place on the ladder after a dramatic grand final win against the Melbourne Stars in 2015-16.
"There's a lot to play for, if we win and win well then we give ourselves a chance to get through to that semi-final," Blizzard said.
"It's unfortunate that we're in this position but it's great we can control part of our destiny which is to get out there and score plenty of runs on Manuka Oval, which I'm sure we can do.
"We were in a similar position when we won the championship, we relied on one result to get into the finals, so we've been in worse positions I guess but there's a silver lining there."
Thunder skipper Shane Watson is in terrific touch alongside Test batsmen Usman Khawaja and James Vince, and Blizzard said all three can win a game off their own bat.
"We've got some batters in form so if we can get through to those finals then anything can happen, it doesn't matter playing home or away, funny things happen in finals," Blizzard said.
"We pretty much jumped on the back of Uzzie last time and won the championship, obviously he's is in good form and Watto is in good form and James Vince is in good form, so there's three wild cards there that could easily click."
Blizzard hit the winning runs in the Thunder's opening game of the season but has made just one more appearance since, with the Canberran averaging 13 in his two innings.
"It feels like yesterday we were starting the tournament and now we're already at the last game of the regular season, but it's great to be home in Canberra," Blizzard said.
"I've only played two games this season and for me personally I would have liked to have played some more but there's some bigger pictures there as well.
"There are some pretty talented young players in this team and we've done pretty well in this tournament, so if I get to play three games I'll be rapt and if it's only two I'm pretty comfortable as well.
"The generation of cricketers coming through at the moment is really strong, especially in Twenty20, so I'm more than happy to make way for some of the talent."
Blizzard will likely earn his third start of the summer at Manuka after batsman Callum Ferguson was ruled out on Sunday and Khawaja remains under an injury cloud.
"I just need to make sure I don't trip over anything, we'll see. I'll just control what I can and train well and we'll see what happens," Blizzard said.
"The average score at Manuka is around 180 so it will be interesting to see which way we go, whether we go batting heavy or bowling heavy.
"Clearly we have to win and win well, that might be in my favour, but we'll see what the selectors go with."
With just a handful of tickets remaining the match is expected to be a sell-out and Blizzard has backed a "sea of green" to be in the stands at Manuka.
"I'm really proud the region has got behind the match, it's a sell-out, so you can't ask for much more than that," Blizzard said.
"The Thunder have done a great job nominating Canberra as their regional venue for this fixture and and it would be great for a lot of people to get out there early and support the WBBL match as well."