FORMER premier Jeff Kennett has claimed an early state election is highly unlikely and says the push to oust rogue MP Geoff Shaw would set an dangerous precedent.
Interviewed last night on ABC's programme Lateline, Mr Kennett endorsed Premier Denis Napthine's handling of political standoff following Mr Shaw's withdrawal of support for the government.
"I have no doubt that we'll see an election at the end of November," the former premier said last night.
"This has been an absolute balls-up - in the nicest way possible - by Daniel Andrews.
"He hasn't thought it through.
"Not only the vote of no-confidence, but also the expelling of a member of parliament. On what basis? Because you and I think he's behaved badly? Well that may be so. But actually the people who have acted independently have said, 'On the evidence of the act governing the expenditure of this money, I'm afraid this individual has acted within the law'."
Dr Napthine served in the Kennett government as Community Services Minister and replaced Mr Kennett as Coalition leader following the 1999 state election.